random stats.
- ASU win % by quadrant
Q1: 44%
Q2: 60%
Q3: 20%
Q4: 92%
Minnesota’s RPI after beating us was #11. By week it went 11, 12, 17, 23, 48, 76, 82 If it drops to 101 then all 4 of ASUs non conference weekend series will be against Q4 opponents.
Texas Tech is a shocking 11 - 21.
Over a 7 year stretch from 14’ to 21’ they had 4 CWS, 1 Super, 1 Regional averaging 43 wins per year. They missed a regional last year and are on pace to do the same this year.
But, they have the #2 strength of schedule in the country largely because all of their non conference weekend series are Q1.
Pitchers better hope the wind is blowing in this weekend because Petty (Tech), Martinez (ASU), and Jacobs (ASU) are 1, 2, and 3 in the conference in fly balls.
ASU might want to consider running early and often against Tech pitcher Jack Cebert who has a ground ball % of 68.6% which is the best in the B12. ASU lost the UofA series in large part because of hitting into 7 double plays over the weekend so running might help avoid that. After all a ground ball to second with a runner on first is a double play while a ground ball to second after a stolen base is a solid AB that moves the runner to 3rd.
I love advanced stats. I do. But, as fun as they are, they are meaningless at this point. The series comes down to
1) ASU bullpen competing
2) ASU starting pitchers hitting spots down in the zone
3) ASU hitters grinding out ABs instead of first pitch hunting
The Red Raiders aren’t as good as they have been, but they are certainly better than their record suggests.
What are your keys to the series?
- ASU win % by quadrant
Q1: 44%
Q2: 60%
Q3: 20%
Q4: 92%
Minnesota’s RPI after beating us was #11. By week it went 11, 12, 17, 23, 48, 76, 82 If it drops to 101 then all 4 of ASUs non conference weekend series will be against Q4 opponents.
Texas Tech is a shocking 11 - 21.
Over a 7 year stretch from 14’ to 21’ they had 4 CWS, 1 Super, 1 Regional averaging 43 wins per year. They missed a regional last year and are on pace to do the same this year.
But, they have the #2 strength of schedule in the country largely because all of their non conference weekend series are Q1.
Pitchers better hope the wind is blowing in this weekend because Petty (Tech), Martinez (ASU), and Jacobs (ASU) are 1, 2, and 3 in the conference in fly balls.
ASU might want to consider running early and often against Tech pitcher Jack Cebert who has a ground ball % of 68.6% which is the best in the B12. ASU lost the UofA series in large part because of hitting into 7 double plays over the weekend so running might help avoid that. After all a ground ball to second with a runner on first is a double play while a ground ball to second after a stolen base is a solid AB that moves the runner to 3rd.
I love advanced stats. I do. But, as fun as they are, they are meaningless at this point. The series comes down to
1) ASU bullpen competing
2) ASU starting pitchers hitting spots down in the zone
3) ASU hitters grinding out ABs instead of first pitch hunting
The Red Raiders aren’t as good as they have been, but they are certainly better than their record suggests.
What are your keys to the series?
