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Bowl Probability of 2-2, 2-3 & 3-2 Pac Teams

Joe Healey

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Feb 23, 2015
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I researched back through and including the 2000 season (2011 for Colorado and Utah).

From 2000-14, 25 teams have started a season 2-3, with only six making a bowl that year (24.0%).In that same span, 39 teams have started 3-2, with 18 ultimately making a bowl (46.2%). There have been 29 teams with 2-2 starts, with eight making a bowl game (27.6%).

Hopefully ASU can follow that model Mike Riley had at OSU in which they would struggle early and catch fire late -- I remember that becoming basically a predictable thing each year for the Beavs.

2-2:


29 times, 8 bowls – 27.6%



ASU

2010: 6-6

2009: 4-8

2008: 5-7

2003: 5-7


UofA

2006: 6-6


UCLA

2011: 6-8* (needed waiver)

2010: 4-8

2003: 6-7*


CU

2014: 2-10

2013: 4-8


Utah

2012: 5-7

2011: 8-5*


Cal

2010: 5-7


Stanford

2008: 5-7

2005: 5-6

2003: 4-7

2000: 5-6


Oregon State

2010: 5-7

2009: 8-5*

2008: 9-4*

2007: 9-4*

2006: 10-4*

2005: 5-6


Washington

2010: 7-6*

2009: 5-7

2007: 4-9


WSU

2012: 3-9

2007: 5-7

2000: 4-7


2-3

25 times, 6 bowls = 24.0%



ASU

2010: 6-6

2008: 5-7

2003: 5-7


UofA

2007: 5-7

2006: 6-6


UCLA

2011: 6-8*

2008: 4-8


CU

2014: 2-10

2013: 4-8


Utah

2012: 5-7

2011: 8-5*


Cal

2003: 8-6*


Stanford

2007: 4-8

2003: 4-7

2000: 5-6


Oregon

2004: 5-6


Oregon State

2008: 9-4*

2007: 9-4*

2001: 5-6


Washington

2010: 7-6*

2009: 5-7

2007: 4-9


WSU

2014: 3-9

2012: 3-9

2007: 5-7


3-2


39 times, 18 46.2%



ASU

2009: 4-8

2006: 7-6*

2005: 7-5*

2001: 4-7


UofA

2013: 8-5*

2012: 8-5*

2009: 8-5*

2002: 4-8

2001: 5-6


USC

2014: 9-4*

2013: 10-4*

2002: 11-2*

2000: 5-7


UCLA

2010: 4-8

2009: 7-6*

2003: 6-7


Utah

2013: 5-7


Cal

2011: 7-6*

2010: 5-7

2009: 8-5*

2002: 7-5


Stanford

2014: 8-5*

2009: 8-5*

2008: 5-7

2005: 5-6

2004: 4-7


Oregon State

2010: 5-7

2009: 8-5*

2006: 10-4*

2005: 5-6


Washington

2012: 7-6*

2003: 6-6

2002: 7-6*


WSU

2013: 6-7*

2011: 4-8

2006: 6-6

2005: 4-7

2004: 5-6

2000: 4-7
 
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