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ASU game by game win % article

jlogelin

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Mar 18, 2015
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I know we'll eventually get our annual win % thread going, this can just wet the appetite....
Came across an article on yahoo which is an Az Republic article by Jeremy Cluff that is re-posting the game by game win percentage changes that espn did for ASUs upcoming season.

"According to ESPN analytics, the Sun Devils have over a 50% chance to win five games. It gives them less than a 50% chance to win seven games, putting Arizona State's predicted record for Dillingham's first season in Tempe at 5-7."

Here's how the win chance % broke down for the 5-7 season:
ASU (96%) vs Southern Utah (4%)
Ok St (61.7%) vs ASU (38.3%)
ASU (61.5%) vs Fresno St (38.5%)
USC (88%) vs ASU (12%)
Cal (69.5%) vs ASU (30.5%)
ASU (73.3%) vs Colorado (26.7%)
UW (82.3%) vs ASU (17.7)
ASU (57.1%) vs WSU (42.9%)
Utah (88.6%) vs ASU (11.4%)
UCLA (74.9%) vs ASU (25.1%)
Oregon (78.3%) vs ASU (21.7%)
ASU (51.9%) vs uofeh (48.1%)

My biggest gripe would be Cal. No idea how/why they have us with such a low % vs Cal. I think that game along with Ok St is what could flip their projected 5-7 into a 7-5 year. Ucla seems way too lopsided as well.

The similar article for uofeh has them going 4-8.
 
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