FWIW Jon Wilner in his latest mailbag feature, offered a percentage for the various future scenarios for the conference:
40% Remaining 10 teams stick together but have some kind of partnership with the ACC or Big 12
30% At least eight schools merge with a Big 12 to form a Western division of a super conference, and in this scenario, Oregon State and Washington state are the two schools left behind
20% The remaining 10 schools are given a compelling reason to stick together without any partnership etc
10% ASU, Arizona, Colorado, Utah, Oregon, and Washington are poached by the Big 12 thus leading to the disillusion of the conference.
Wilner also claims that it's more likely to take weeks or months rather than just days for any of these scenarios to materialize.
As always, ESPN and perhaps some other media companies not named FOX are calling the shots here and will have a direct effect on the timeline. And not to overstate the obvious, but the Pac-12 in these media negotiations doesn't really have much leverage at all so who knows how attractive the end result will look like...
40% Remaining 10 teams stick together but have some kind of partnership with the ACC or Big 12
30% At least eight schools merge with a Big 12 to form a Western division of a super conference, and in this scenario, Oregon State and Washington state are the two schools left behind
20% The remaining 10 schools are given a compelling reason to stick together without any partnership etc
10% ASU, Arizona, Colorado, Utah, Oregon, and Washington are poached by the Big 12 thus leading to the disillusion of the conference.
Wilner also claims that it's more likely to take weeks or months rather than just days for any of these scenarios to materialize.
As always, ESPN and perhaps some other media companies not named FOX are calling the shots here and will have a direct effect on the timeline. And not to overstate the obvious, but the Pac-12 in these media negotiations doesn't really have much leverage at all so who knows how attractive the end result will look like...
