Yesterday
this article I wrote popped into my head. I essentially defined what I thought made an elite team and what makes teams looking outside from being elite. I expanded on that today by making ten groups that I think you can fit every single team in the FBS into one of them.
That got me thinking....college football is essentially one big caste system. Teams hope they can do good enough to move up but it's theoretically impossible to move into the top castes by "mere mortals". Teams however can move down in castes. Which castes teams can move into depends on what happens with their programs. Sometimes lowly teams become good teams. Sometimes low teams become mid major which then become power 5 teams. Sometimes mid tier power five teams become great and sometimes once elite schools fall from grace.
It's all here. Feel free to check it out. I'll re-post the group definitions below
(click the image to enlarge)
Group 1. Currently there are only a
very small handful of schools could be truly considered "elite" based on criteria I'll list below:
-Alabama
-Ohio State
-Michigan
Group 2. Schools with the "pedigree" to be elite but just are currently lacking in some areas. These are the types of programs where you conceivably
could just bring in the right coach and get back to being elite:
-LSU
-Texas
-USC
-Florida State
-Auburn
-Florida
-Georgia
-Tennessee
-Oklahoma
-Notre Dame
Group 3. The "New Kids on the Block." Programs that have been consistently performing at a high level for the last decade or so but just really lack that pedigree that would ever truly make them an "elite" school.
-Michigan State
-Wisconsin
-Oregon (up until this season)
-Stanford (up until this season)
-TCU
-Baylor (We'll see what happens with Briles gone in the coming years)
-Louisville
-Clemson
Group 4. Programs that were once elite but just seem too far removed from ever realistically being seen to be back there:
-Nebraska
-Miami
-Penn State
Group 5. Programs that despite so many natural advantages, just seem to do less with more:
-Ole Miss
-Arkansas
-Texas A&M
-Oklahoma State
-UCLA
-Washington (up until this year of course)
Group 6 "Always the Bridesmaid and Never the Bride". This is the group of constant mid-tier Power-5 teams that have decent years pretty much every year but then just can't maintain that constant success to put them in Group 3. Unlike Group 5 however, these schools don't have the built-in advantages that many of them do have yet on average do about the same as those in Group 5 on a consistent basis. For them however a second to third tier bowl game is pretty much a yearly thing. It's not to say that Group 6 schools don't have incredible years every so often, but they're generally about 5, 7, sometimes 10 years apart. (Any of this sound familiar?) Example of such schools of course would be:
Arizona State (duh)
Cal
Virginia Tech
West Virginia
Georgia Tech
South Carolina (a case could be made they may also belong in Group 4...especially during the Spurrier years)
Kansas State
Iowa
Mizzou
Utah (Only recently but graduated from Group 7 and avoided Group 9 with their play recently.....see below)
Group 7 "The Overachieving Mid-Major". These are the non-Power 5 teams that routinely destroy their weak conferences (if applicable) on an almost yearly basis and make big bowl games every few years possibly even upsetting their opponents. Examples include:
Boise State
Houston
BYU
Nevada
Fresno State
Practically any of the directional schools in Michigan
Memphis (a recent addition)
Navy
South Florida
Group 8 "Basketball Schools". These are universities that don't often, but sometimes can field good football teams that will always take a back seat to their school's over the top basketball program. Louisville's continued success expelled them from this group to Group 3. Examples include:
au (duh)
Duke
North Carolina
Kentucky
Maryland
Kansas
Syracuse
Indiana
Group 9 "Power 5 basement dwellers". These are the forgotten realms of the Power-5 conferences. The only thing these teams have in common with the Group 6, 5, 3, 2, & 1 schools is that they...share a conference. These programs generally are in bad locations, suffer from sub-par facilities, have little brand recognition, and are often after thoughts to their larger conference kin. It's not to say these teams don't occasionally enjoy success...but as a whole they're forgotten. These are the teams that if they were a foreign soccer club, would be constantly facing relegation every year. Examples include:
Washington State (yes they're having a good year)
Colorado (ditto)
Oregon State
Iowa State
Mississippi State (despite their great run over the last few years)
Minnesota
Purdue
Rutgers
Vanderbilt
Illinois
Northwestern
Boston College
Group 10 "The Thursday/Friday Night Specials." These are pretty much the rest of the teams in the FBS. These comprise mostly of non-Power 5 teams, directional schools, new schools to the FBS, etc. These are the schools you watch out of the corner of your eye while out on the town with friends and family at a bar or restaurant. These are the guys who aren't consistently good/recognized enough to make it into Group 7.
What Makes a School Elite?
-Large amounts of tradition built upon generations and generations of excellence
-National brand recognition that anyone would instant recognize
-Amazing current state of the program including a coach that constantly has his team in the playoff picture
-Vast amounts of money from boosters with very deep pockets never hesitating to open up their wallets
-High end recruiting on both a regional and national level
-Top of the line facilities
-A resume of national titles, conference titles, Heisman winners, All Americans
-A great track record of putting players into the NFL in the early rounds of the draft leading to long careers in the league
On the whole....teams can't move into Groups 1 and 2. In very rare circumstances with a few national titles and generations upon generations of strong tradition, Group 3 teams could potentially breathe the same air as Group 2. The only school to ever do this in my opinion is Florida State.